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AGMEMOD Outlook for Agricultural and Food Markets in EU Member States 2018-2030
Salomon, Petra Banse, Martin Donellan, Trevor Hass, Marlen Jongeneel, Roel Laquai, Verena van Leeuwen, Myrna Reziti, Ioanna Salputra, Guna Zirngibl, Max-Emanuel
Salomon, Petra
Banse, Martin
Donellan, Trevor
Hass, Marlen
Jongeneel, Roel
Laquai, Verena
van Leeuwen, Myrna
Reziti, Ioanna
Salputra, Guna
Zirngibl, Max-Emanuel
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2020-07-31
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main working paper
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Salamon, Petra, et al. AGMEMOD outlook for agricultural and food markets in EU member states 2018-2030. No. 114. Thünen Working Paper, 2019.
Abstract
Policy, administration and industry need medium-term projections of the expected
developments in the agri-food markets for their decision-making processes. The EU Commission
presents such projections for the EU as a whole in December of each year. Those projections and
their assumptions regarding policy and macroeconomic developments are depicted to the level
of individual EU Member States with the exception of Luxembourg, which is included in the
figures of Belgium, by applying the partial equilibrium model AGMEMOD. The working paper
briefly describes the approach to establish projections for the EU Member States. The projections
cover the markets of main agricultural products, in particular for cereals and oilseeds (rapeseed
and sunflower seed), livestock (cattle, pigs, goats and sheep), meat (beef, pork, and poultry), milk
and dairy products (drinking milk, butter, cheese, skimmed milk powder, whole milk and semiskimmed milk powder). The outcomes comprise items like areas, livestock numbers, yields,
production, trade and use, as well as prices. The individual projection results are displayed in
tables.